NASA has just revised their stats for asteroid 2004 MN4. Last week they announced a 1 in 300 chance that the thing would hit the Earth in ~2030 or so. They revised this over the weekend, and it now stands at a 1 in 37 chance (2.7%) Not enough to run for the hills, but enough to make you think.
Fortunately the thing is “only” about 300 meters, not a likely world-killer, but some massive destruction wherever it hit. It’s also small enough (and far enough away) that the potential for nuclear bombardment may be an option should it be required.
Yow, man. 1 in 37. Who gets to roll the Earth’s 2d10? And the really funny part is they’re projecting a hit on - get this - April 13, 2029. That’s a Friday. How’s that for bad luck?
Link to CNN article from Dec 24, giving the original 1 in 300 odds.